2013 Academy Awards – Our Predictions

Photo by EbbandFlowPhotography via Flickr

Photo by EbbandFlowPhotography via Flickr

It wouldn’t be the L.A Beat without an acknowledgment of our town’s biggest party, the Academy Awards.  Honoring the best films of 2012, it will be held tomorrow night at the Dolby Theatre.   Los Angeles is Mecca for a film junkie and we took full advantage of it last year with a stronger selection of films than we have seen in many years.

We begin the Oscars vigil every November by trying to see each and every nominated film.  This includes the especially entertaining short films, which are released in local theaters and iTunes.

Here are our predictions for this year’s winners:

Best Picture – Argo

With so much momentum and pre-Oscar awards going to Ben Affleck’s masterpiece, it’s hard to see this film being upset. Affleck can probably thank the Academy for the shameless snub in the directing category.  Lincoln probably would have run the table, but for the sympathy vote Affleck received from the Golden Globes that propelled it through the Awards season.

Lincoln had more elements, and while Argo was great, it wasn’t perfect.  As a period and history piece, I take issue with the historical accuracy of Argo and especially the cliché Hollywood ending. By contrast, no one can accuse Spielberg of fudging his history. Still we would be happy with either film prevailing.

Best Director – Steven Spielberg

With Affleck gone, Spielberg is a virtual lock.  Though Ang Lee could be an upset winner.

Best Actor – Daniel Day Lewis

Really, do I need to explain? If Daniel Day were not in the field John Hawkes and Denzel were also brilliant.

Best Actress – Jennifer Lawrence

How can you not love Jennifer Lawrence?  This young actress went toe-to-toe with the great Robert DeNiro and won. She wins because, well, her performance was great. I’m just not drinking the Jessica Chastain Kool Aid.

Best Supporting Actor – Tommie Lee Jones

Tommie Lee is long overdue and in many ways carried good parts of Lincoln. The late push for DeNiro could prove a surprise, but Tommie Lee’s performance outweighs the need for DeNiro to get another Oscar for posterity alone.

Best Supporting Actress- Anne Hathaway

I confess I refused to see Les Miz.  Hathaway has swept all of the awards going in to Oscar. But watch out for Amy Adams.

Best Animated Film- Brave

It’s a close call with Wreck-It Ralph. In the end the loveable Queen/Bear wins the day.

Best Foreign Film – Amour

Didn’t see it. Didn’t have to. It wins.

Best Original Screenplay- Django Unchained

 The Writer’s Guild gave their award to Mark Boal for Zero Dark Thirty and that was my original vote. But Oscar tends to give awards where they can for the body of work overlooking the actual category and this is why I give the edge to Tarantino.

Best Adapted Screenplay- Argo

This was the tightest story of all the films this year, in large part due to the amazing Screenplay.

Best Costume Design – Anna Karenina

A dreadfully boring, but beautiful looking film. It’s all costume. Les Miz could also snatch this one.

Best Production Design – Lincoln

Best Original Score – Life of Pi

Best Original Song – Skyfall

C’mon it’s Adele.

Best Makeup – Les Misreables

This had to be an incredibly good looking film and is so cast oriented that it gets the edge. One has to assume there was an awful lot of labor put into making up lots of actors into dirty looking French people.

Best Documentary – Searching for Sugar Man

One of my overall favorite films of the year.

Best Film Editing – Argo

Argo succeeds as a film because it had no flaws. There were no visible errors and was incredibly tight. It’s no mistake that Best Pictures almost always have the Best Editing. Editing is key to what makes a good film a great one and a potentially great one a crap film. See, Gangs of New York.

Best Cinematography – Life of Pi

A stunningly beautiful film. Has to win the visual categories.

Best Visual Effects – Life of Pi

See above.

Best Short Film Live – Curfew

If you watch any short film this year, watch Curfew. It was GREAT.

Best Short Film Animated – Paperman

I wasn’t wowed by any of the Animated Shorts this year. This one was a little better than the rest, and all were very different styles. Apples and Oranges in this category this year.

Best Documentary Short – Mondays at Racine

Couldn’t find the Documentary Shorts anywhere.

Best Sound Editing- Life of Pi

Just won the Golden Reel Award for Sound Editing giving it the edge to take home Oscar.

Best Sound Mixing – Les Miserables

See above.

The Oscar Red Carpet begins at 4pm PST on ABC with the awards to air at 5:30pm PST.

Brian Michaels

About Brian Michaels

Brian Michaels is grew up in the Fairfax District of Los Angeles in the glory days of the late 1960s and 70s. Only a stone's throw from the Sunset Strip, Michaels had an early education in rock music. Michaels attended his first punk rock show at the age of 14 at the Whiskey a Go Go and has been going strong ever since. Brian is a defense attorney by profession but adds photography and writing to a list of his many passions outside of the his job. Brian can be found on the web at www.exlaprosecutor.com.
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